A senior White House official indicated FBI Director Kash Patel may be fired. Patel out by June 30 at 59.5% YES.

Israeli military raids in the West Bank follow PM Netanyahu's directive amid settler violence. Suspension of Lebanon ...

Trump is safe after a White House shooting disrupts the correspondents' dinner; no injuries reported, suspect details scarce.

Trump declared unwavering commitment to the war against Iran, pushing the Polymarket odds of the Iranian regime falling by ...

Starmer faces pressure from Labour MPs amid speculation on his leadership. Odds of him leaving by December 31, 2026, rise to ...

Trump claims US actions stopped Iran from getting nuclear weapons. US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30 at 3% YES.

Israel and Lebanon held US-hosted talks in Washington, with a diplomatic meeting by April 30 priced at 100% YES.

Trump was evacuated from a White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions. Trump out as President by April 30 at 0.2% YES.

Iran-linked hackers exposed identities of Israeli special ops officers. Iran strikes Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

Shipping officials have warned that the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is escalating volatility as Iran intensifies ...

BIS warns crypto exchanges are acting as shadow banks, raising systemic risk concerns. Stablecoin depeg by 2027 at 3% YES.

Bitcoin sharks accumulated 37,920 BTC as Middle East tensions eased. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 2026 sits at 4.9% ...