US recession risk was low at the start of military strikes on Iran. The market was calm on Monday, but the situation is fluid ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same ...

Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...

This has been a roller coaster year for the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, with all three enduring a mini-crash and a rip-roaring rally to new highs. A new ...

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...

U.S. financial markets remain perched near record levels as investors await the Federal Open Market Committee’s upcoming rate decision. A key question looming over Wall Street now is whether the ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

Julian Emanuel, senior managing director at Evercore ISI, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the slump in software stocks, market themes, and more.