This is a guest post by Nathan Paxton. As social scientists, at least as regards what we can empirically assess, we tend to make statements of probability rather than fact. So rather than say that ...

Marty Makary was appointed commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2025. The prominent surgeon, medical researcher, bestselling author, and critic of the medical ...

I like Bayesian statistics but I hate the way they are being forced upon us as the only way of knowing God. And I think frequentist statistics have much to recommend themselves, even when embedded in ...

Nate Silver, baseball statistician turned political analyst, gained a lot of attention during the 2012 United States elections when he successfully predicted the outcome of the presidential vote in ...

In the announcement, FDA Commissioner Mackary said, “Bayesian methodologies help address two of the biggest problems of drug development: high costs and long timelines. Providing clarity around modern ...