The average probability of a soft landing was 52%, up from 47% in the January CNBC Fed survey. The probability of a recession in the next 12 months fell to 32%, down from 39% in January and 63% in ...
Reader estimates put the average probability of a 30% stock market crash in the next year at 30.5%, with a median of 25%. After engaging with the article's analysis, respondents lowered their average ...